Goal expectancy
1.04Expected goals1.39
From 14 and 13 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Beroe 2-1 Levski Sofia Prediction
Balanced — model leans Levski Sofia
Estimated win chances: Beroe 28.1%, draw 26.9%, Levski Sofia 44.9%. From 14 and 13 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
33Cold spellBeroe
Weighted momentum
Levski Sofia arrives with stronger form weighting (+35 momentum).
68Hot streakLevski Sofia
Beroe · low scoring · cold formLevski Sofia · compact defense · hot form
Beroe
5W · 2D · 7LRecent →WLLDLLLLWDWLWW
Momentum index
Levski Sofia
8W · 2D · 3LRecent →WDLWWDWWWLWWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Beroe
17 pts36% wins
5W · 2D · 7L · 14 played
For13
Against21
Levski Sofia
26 pts62% wins
8W · 2D · 3L · 13 played
For22
Against9
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Beroe offensive edge
Beroe faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-40 - Levski Sofia offensive edge
Levski Sofia's attack (63%) vs Beroe's defense (22%).
+41
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Beroelow scoring · cold form
Levski Sofiacompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Beroe50%
1Draws
1Levski Sofia25%