Goal expectancy
1.63Expected goals1.28
From 3 and 3 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Bfa
Estimated win chances: Bfa 45.6%, draw 24.3%, Dainava 30.1%. From 3 and 3 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
33Cold spellBfa
Weighted momentum
Bfa carries the sharper recent run (+25 momentum).
8Cold spellDainava
Bfa · low scoring · cold formDainava · High-risk / fragile
Bfa
1W · 0D · 2LRecent →LWL
Momentum index
Dainava
0W · 1D · 2LRecent →LLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapBfa +2
Bfa
3 pts33% wins
1W · 0D · 2L · 3 played
For2
Against4
Dainava
1 pts0% wins
0W · 1D · 2L · 3 played
For5
Against8
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Bfa offensive edge
Bfa faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-4 - Dainava offensive edge
Dainava's attack (71%) vs Bfa's defense (67%).
+4
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Bfalow scoring · cold form
DainavaHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 9 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Bfa33%
2Draws
4Dainava44%