Goal expectancy
1.61Expected goals1.26
From 14 and 14 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Bfa
Estimated win chances: Bfa 45.6%, draw 24.5%, Ekranas 29.9%. From 14 and 14 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
47MixedBfa
Weighted momentum
Bfa carries the sharper recent run (+28 momentum).
19Cold spellEkranas
Bfa · leaky defenseEkranas · High-risk / fragile
Bfa
6W · 1D · 7LRecent →WLLWWLLLWWDLWL
Momentum index
Ekranas
2W · 1D · 11LRecent →LLLLWDWLLLLLLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapBfa +12
Bfa
19 pts43% wins
6W · 1D · 7L · 14 played
For15
Against24
Ekranas
7 pts14% wins
2W · 1D · 11L · 14 played
For15
Against26
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Bfa offensive edge
Bfa faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-1 - Ekranas offensive edge
Ekranas's attack (54%) vs Bfa's defense (53%).
+1
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Bfaleaky defense
EkranasHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 9 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
6Bfa67%
2Draws
1Ekranas11%