BFA 5-3 Žalgiris II Prediction

BFABFA
5 — 3FT
Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

BfaBfavsŽalgiris IiŽalgiris Ii

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Bfa

Estimated win chances: Bfa 57.2%, draw 19.5%, Žalgiris Ii 23.2%. From 11 and 12 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

2.33Expected goals1.45

From 11 and 12 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 2–110%
  • 1–18.6%
  • 3–17.8%
  • 2–27.3%
  • 2–06.9%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

47MixedBfa
Weighted momentum

Bfa carries the sharper recent run (+14 momentum).

33Cold spellŽalgiris Ii
Bfa · leaky defenseŽalgiris Ii · High-risk / fragile

Bfa

4W · 1D · 6L
Recent →WWLDLWLLWLL
Momentum index

Žalgiris Ii

3W · 1D · 8L
Recent →LWLLWWLLLDLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Bfa

13 pts
36% wins

4W · 1D · 6L · 11 played

For
21
Against
23
Goal diff -2

Žalgiris Ii

10 pts
25% wins

3W · 1D · 8L · 12 played

For
16
Against
36
Goal diff -20

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Bfa offensive edge

    Bfa's attack (67%) vs Žalgiris Ii's defense (46%).

    +21
  • Žalgiris Ii offensive edge

    Žalgiris Ii runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -21

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Bfa67
Žalgiris Ii33

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Bfa54
Žalgiris Ii46

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Bfa47
Žalgiris Ii33

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Bfa92
Žalgiris Ii8

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Bfa43
Žalgiris Ii63

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Bfa54
Žalgiris Ii46

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Bfa0
Žalgiris Ii0
Bfaleaky defense
Žalgiris IiHigh-risk / fragile