Goal expectancy
1.25Expected goals1.23
From 32 and 32 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
BFC Daugavpils 2-1 Auda Prediction
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Bfc Daugavpils 36.9%, draw 27.1%, Auda 36%. From 32 and 32 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
46MixedBfc Daugavpils
Weighted momentum
Auda arrives with stronger form weighting (+21 momentum).
67BuildingAuda
Auda · hot form
Bfc Daugavpils
11W · 9D · 12LRecent →WDLDLDWWLWWLDWDDDLWLLLDLDWWWWLLL
Momentum index
Auda
19W · 7D · 6LRecent →WDWDWDWWWWDLDWLDWWWLLWWWWDLWWLWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapAuda +22
Bfc Daugavpils
42 pts34% wins
11W · 9D · 12L · 32 played
For37
Against36
Auda
64 pts59% wins
19W · 7D · 6L · 32 played
For52
Against32
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Bfc Daugavpils offensive edge
Bfc Daugavpils faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-17 - Auda offensive edge
Auda's attack (67%) vs Bfc Daugavpils's defense (50%).
+17
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Audahot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
4Bfc Daugavpils40%
2Draws
4Auda40%