Goal expectancy
1.26Expected goals0.82
From 11 and 11 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — model leans Binéfar
Estimated win chances: Binéfar 46.7%, draw 29.1%, Cuarte 24.2%. From 11 and 11 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
75Hot streakBinéfar
Weighted momentum
Binéfar carries the sharper recent run (+15 momentum).
60BuildingCuarte
Binéfar · compact defense · hot formCuarte · Structured / conservative
Binéfar
7W · 3D · 1LRecent →DWWWWDWWLDW
Momentum index
Cuarte
5W · 4D · 2LRecent →WLWDWLWDWDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapBinéfar +5
Binéfar
24 pts64% wins
7W · 3D · 1L · 11 played
For17
Against7
Cuarte
19 pts45% wins
5W · 4D · 2L · 11 played
For9
Against7
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Binéfar offensive edge
Binéfar's attack (58%) vs Cuarte's defense (20%).
+38 - Cuarte offensive edge
Cuarte runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-38
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Binéfarcompact defense · hot form
CuarteStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 6 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
6Binéfar100%
0Draws
0Cuarte0%