Birmingham 0-1 Cardiff Prediction

BirminghamBirmingham
0 — 1FT
CardiffCardiff
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

BirminghamBirminghamvsCardiffCardiff

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Cardiff

Estimated win chances: Birmingham 34.6%, draw 24.6%, Cardiff 40.8%. From 25 and 25 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.39Expected goals1.53

From 25 and 25 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–111.9%
  • 1–29.1%
  • 0–18.5%
  • 2–18.2%
  • 1–07.8%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

39Cold spellBirmingham
Weighted momentum

Cardiff arrives with stronger form weighting (+34 momentum).

73Hot streakCardiff
Birmingham · cold formCardiff · hot form

Birmingham

7W · 8D · 10L
Recent →LWDDLWDLLDWLWDDLLWLWDWLLD
Momentum index

Cardiff

17W · 2D · 6L
Recent →WWWLWWDWWWLLWWLWWWLWWWLDW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapCardiff +24

Birmingham

29 pts
28% wins

7W · 8D · 10L · 25 played

For
33
Against
41
Goal diff -8

Cardiff

53 pts
68% wins

17W · 2D · 6L · 25 played

For
47
Against
29
Goal diff +18

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Birmingham offensive edge

    Birmingham faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -25
  • Cardiff offensive edge

    Cardiff's attack (56%) vs Birmingham's defense (31%).

    +25

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Birmingham44
Cardiff56

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Birmingham31
Cardiff69

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Birmingham39
Cardiff73

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Birmingham0
Cardiff100

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Birmingham32
Cardiff30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Birmingham29
Cardiff71

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Birmingham13
Cardiff88
Birminghamcold form
Cardiffhot form