Goal expectancy
1.44Expected goals1.23
From 14 and 14 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Blooming
Estimated win chances: Blooming 41.9%, draw 25.8%, Aurora 32.2%. From 14 and 14 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
37Cold spellBlooming
Weighted momentum
Aurora arrives with stronger form weighting (+12 momentum).
49MixedAurora
Blooming · cold form
Blooming
4W · 6D · 4LRecent →LDLDWDWLDDLWDW
Momentum index
Aurora
5W · 7D · 2LRecent →LDDWDLWWDWWDDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapAurora +4
Blooming
18 pts29% wins
4W · 6D · 4L · 14 played
For17
Against16
Aurora
22 pts36% wins
5W · 7D · 2L · 14 played
For23
Against19
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Blooming offensive edge
Blooming faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-15 - Aurora offensive edge
Aurora's attack (82%) vs Blooming's defense (67%).
+15
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Bloomingcold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
8Blooming80%
1Draws
1Aurora10%