Goal expectancy
1.74Expected goals1.35
From 10 and 10 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Blumenau 1-2 Caravaggio Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Blumenau
Estimated win chances: Blumenau 46.7%, draw 23.4%, Caravaggio 29.9%. From 10 and 10 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
79Hot streakBlumenau
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
74Hot streakCaravaggio
Blumenau · compact defense · hot formCaravaggio · hot form
Blumenau
7W · 1D · 2LRecent →WWWWLWLWWD
Momentum index
Caravaggio
6W · 3D · 1LRecent →WWDWDWWDLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapBlumenau +1
Blumenau
22 pts70% wins
7W · 1D · 2L · 10 played
For24
Against5
Caravaggio
21 pts60% wins
6W · 3D · 1L · 10 played
For26
Against10
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Blumenau offensive edge
Blumenau's attack (59%) vs Caravaggio's defense (38%).
+21 - Caravaggio offensive edge
Caravaggio runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-22
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Blumenaucompact defense · hot form
Caravaggiohot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Blumenau50%
0Draws
1Caravaggio50%