BOA 3-2 Tonnerre Prediction

BOA

3 — 2FT1 Mar 2025, 15:00 UTC

Tonnerre

Overview Lineups Statistics Standings Events Players PredictionsForm Injuries H2H

Updated 9 Sep 2026, 18:11 UTC

BoavsTonnerre

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Defensive grind — model leans Boa

Estimated win chances: Boa 44.2%, draw 29.4%, Tonnerre 26.3%. From 19 and 19 competition matches.

Low tempo / cagey

TempoMedium

VolatilityLow

Expected goalsLow

Tactical styleDefensive grind

Upset potentialMedium

Draw riskHigh

Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.22Expected goals0.87

From 19 and 19 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

1–015.2%
1–113.3%
0–012.5%
0–110.9%
2–09.3%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

37Cold spellBoa

Weighted momentum

Boa carries the sharper recent run (+8 momentum).

29Cold spellTonnerre

Boa · low scoring · cold formTonnerre · low scoring · cold form

Boa

3W · 10D · 6L

Recent →DWWDLLLDDDDLWDLLDDD

Momentum index

Tonnerre

4W · 6D · 9L

Recent →WLLLLDLLWDLDWLWLDDD

Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapBoa +1

Boa

19 pts

16% wins

3W · 10D · 6L · 19 played

For

Against

Goal diff -3

Tonnerre

18 pts

21% wins

4W · 6D · 9L · 19 played

For

Against

Goal diff -10

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

Boa offensive edge
Boa's attack (63%) vs Tonnerre's defense (27%).
+36
Tonnerre offensive edge
Tonnerre runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-35

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Boa63

Tonnerre38

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Boa73

Tonnerre27

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Boa37

Tonnerre29

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Boa122

Tonnerre-20

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Boa30

Tonnerre30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Boa73

Tonnerre27

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Boa50

Tonnerre50

Boalow scoring · cold form

Tonnerrelow scoring · cold form

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

0Boa0%

1Draws

0Tonnerre0%

Recent meetings

16 Oct 2024, 15:00 UTC