Goal expectancy
1.46Expected goals1.43
From 5 and 5 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Boden 38.3%, draw 24.8%, Täfteå 36.9%. From 5 and 5 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
46MixedBoden
Weighted momentum
Täfteå arrives with stronger form weighting (+26 momentum).
72Hot streakTäfteå
Boden · compact defenseTäfteå · hot form
Boden
2W · 2D · 1LRecent →DLWDW
Momentum index
Täfteå
3W · 0D · 2LRecent →WWWLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapTäfteå +1
Boden
8 pts40% wins
2W · 2D · 1L · 5 played
For6
Against4
Täfteå
9 pts60% wins
3W · 0D · 2L · 5 played
For14
Against7
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Boden offensive edge
Boden faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-6 - Täfteå offensive edge
Täfteå's attack (70%) vs Boden's defense (64%).
+6
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Bodencompact defense
Täfteåhot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Boden30%
1Draws
6Täfteå60%