Boise 1-3 Fort Wayne Prediction

BoiseBoise
1 — 3FT
Fort WayneFort Wayne

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Boise

Estimated win chances: Boise 47.2%, draw 25.3%, Fort Wayne 27.5%. From 8 and 8 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.55Expected goals1.12

From 8 and 8 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.4%
  • 1–011%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 2–08.5%
  • 0–18%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

61BuildingBoise
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

58BuildingFort Wayne

Boise

4W · 2D · 2L
Recent →WLWWDDLW
Momentum index

Fort Wayne

3W · 3D · 2L
Recent →DWWDWLDL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapBoise +2

Boise

14 pts
50% wins

4W · 2D · 2L · 8 played

For
14
Against
8
Goal diff +6

Fort Wayne

12 pts
38% wins

3W · 3D · 2L · 8 played

For
10
Against
9
Goal diff +1

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Boise offensive edge

    Boise faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -1
  • Fort Wayne offensive edge

    Fort Wayne's attack (44%) vs Boise's defense (43%).

    +1

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Boise56
Fort Wayne44

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Boise43
Fort Wayne57

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Boise61
Fort Wayne58

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Boise48
Fort Wayne52

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Boise30
Fort Wayne30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Boise48
Fort Wayne52

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Boise0
Fort Wayne0