Bokelj 1-3 Otrant-Olympic Prediction

BokeljBokelj
1 — 3FT
Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Defensive grind — model leans Bokelj

Estimated win chances: Bokelj 48.7%, draw 28%, Otrant-olympic 23.3%. From 27 and 28 competition matches.

Low tempo / cagey
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.35Expected goals0.84

From 27 and 28 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–015.3%
  • 1–112.9%
  • 0–011.4%
  • 2–010.3%
  • 0–19.5%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

43MixedBokelj
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

45MixedOtrant-olympic
Bokelj · compact defenseOtrant-olympic · low scoring

Bokelj

10W · 10D · 7L
Recent →DLWLLLDDDWDLDDWWWWWDLWDDWWL
Momentum index

Otrant-olympic

7W · 8D · 13L
Recent →DWDWWWLDWLWLDLWLLLLLDLDDLLLD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Bokelj

40 pts
37% wins

10W · 10D · 7L · 27 played

For
29
Against
22
Goal diff +7

Otrant-olympic

29 pts
25% wins

7W · 8D · 13L · 28 played

For
25
Against
37
Goal diff -12

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Bokelj offensive edge

    Bokelj faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -49
  • Otrant-olympic offensive edge

    Otrant-olympic's attack (60%) vs Bokelj's defense (11%).

    +49

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Bokelj40
Otrant-olympic60

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Bokelj11
Otrant-olympic89

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Bokelj43
Otrant-olympic45

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Bokelj-48
Otrant-olympic148

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Bokelj30
Otrant-olympic30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Bokelj27
Otrant-olympic73

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Bokelj85
Otrant-olympic15
Bokeljcompact defense
Otrant-olympiclow scoring

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

0Bokelj0%
1Draws
0Otrant-olympic0%

Recent meetings