Bologna 0-2 Cesena Prediction

BolognaBologna
0 — 2FT
CesenaCesena
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

BolognaBolognavsCesenaCesena

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Bologna

Estimated win chances: Bologna 43.8%, draw 27.4%, Cesena 28.7%. From 33 and 33 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.34Expected goals1.03

From 33 and 33 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113.1%
  • 1–012.7%
  • 0–19.8%
  • 0–09.5%
  • 2–18.8%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

44MixedBologna
Weighted momentum

Bologna carries the sharper recent run (+8 momentum).

36Cold spellCesena
Bologna · low scoringCesena · low scoring · cold form

Bologna

11W · 10D · 12L
Recent →LLLDWDWLWLWDWLWDDLWWLWLWLDLDDWDLD
Momentum index

Cesena

8W · 10D · 15L
Recent →WDDLDWWDLLDDLLLDWWLDLLWLLLDLLLWWD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapBologna +9

Bologna

43 pts
33% wins

11W · 10D · 12L · 33 played

For
34
Against
44
Goal diff -10

Cesena

34 pts
24% wins

8W · 10D · 15L · 33 played

For
30
Against
45
Goal diff -15

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Bologna offensive edge

    Bologna faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -23
  • Cesena offensive edge

    Cesena's attack (70%) vs Bologna's defense (47%).

    +23

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Bologna30
Cesena70

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Bologna47
Cesena53

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Bologna44
Cesena36

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Bologna4
Cesena96

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Bologna30
Cesena30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Bologna40
Cesena60

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Bologna100
Cesena0
Bolognalow scoring
Cesenalow scoring · cold form

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

0Bologna0%
0Draws
1Cesena100%

Recent meetings

Cesena
0 – 2FT
Bologna

Serie ARound 15