Goal expectancy
1.49Expected goals1.19
From 29 and 29 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Bologna
Estimated win chances: Bologna 44.1%, draw 25.6%, Palermo 30.3%. From 29 and 29 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
46MixedBologna
Weighted momentum
Bologna carries the sharper recent run (+9 momentum).
37Cold spellPalermo
Palermo · cold form
Bologna
9W · 9D · 11LRecent →LDWDWLWWDDDDWLLDWDLLWWLWLLDLL
Momentum index
Palermo
10W · 6D · 13LRecent →DDLLLWLWDWWLLDLLDWLWLWLLWDWLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLevel on points
Bologna
36 pts31% wins
9W · 9D · 11L · 29 played
For31
Against35
Palermo
36 pts34% wins
10W · 6D · 13L · 29 played
For41
Against46
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Bologna offensive edge
Bologna's attack (70%) vs Palermo's defense (35%).
+35 - Palermo offensive edge
Palermo runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-35
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Palermocold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Bologna100%
0Draws
0Palermo0%