Goal expectancy
1.17Expected goals0.97
From 23 and 23 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Bombada 2-0 Dutch Lions Prediction
Defensive grind — model leans Bombada
Estimated win chances: Bombada 40.4%, draw 29.4%, Dutch Lions 30.2%. From 23 and 23 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
50MixedBombada
Weighted momentum
Bombada carries the sharper recent run (+8 momentum).
42MixedDutch Lions
Dutch Lions · Structured / conservative
Bombada
8W · 11D · 4LRecent →DDDWWDDLWLDWLWDDWLDWWDD
Momentum index
Dutch Lions
6W · 12D · 5LRecent →WLWDDDLDWLLDDDDDDDDWWWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapBombada +5
Bombada
35 pts35% wins
8W · 11D · 4L · 23 played
For28
Against22
Dutch Lions
30 pts26% wins
6W · 12D · 5L · 23 played
For23
Against19
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Bombada offensive edge
Bombada's attack (36%) vs Dutch Lions's defense (27%).
+9 - Dutch Lions offensive edge
Dutch Lions runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-9
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Dutch LionsStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Bombada33%
2Draws
0Dutch Lions0%