Goal expectancy
0.79Expected goals1.15
From 26 and 26 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — model leans Cuarte
Estimated win chances: Borja 25.2%, draw 30.7%, Cuarte 44.1%. From 26 and 26 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
26Cold spellBorja
Weighted momentum
Cuarte arrives with stronger form weighting (+28 momentum).
54BuildingCuarte
Borja · low scoring · cold formCuarte · compact defense
Borja
4W · 7D · 15LRecent →DWLLDDLDLDLLLDWWLLLLDLWLLL
Momentum index
Cuarte
12W · 9D · 5LRecent →DDDWDLWWWDLWLWDLWWDDWLDWWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapCuarte +26
Borja
19 pts15% wins
4W · 7D · 15L · 26 played
For11
Against29
Cuarte
45 pts46% wins
12W · 9D · 5L · 26 played
For36
Against21
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Borja offensive edge
Borja faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-28 - Cuarte offensive edge
Cuarte's attack (71%) vs Borja's defense (43%).
+28
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Borjalow scoring · cold form
Cuartecompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 6 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
4Borja67%
0Draws
2Cuarte33%