Goal expectancy
1.58Expected goals0.86
From 7 and 7 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Boston River 1-0 Progreso Prediction
Balanced — model leans Boston River
Estimated win chances: Boston River 54.3%, draw 25.2%, Progreso 20.4%. From 7 and 7 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
79Hot streakBoston River
Weighted momentum
Boston River carries the sharper recent run (+63 momentum).
16Cold spellProgreso
Boston River · hot formProgreso · low scoring · cold form
Boston River
5W · 1D · 1LRecent →WWDWWLW
Momentum index
Progreso
0W · 3D · 4LRecent →DDLLLLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapBoston River +13
Boston River
16 pts71% wins
5W · 1D · 1L · 7 played
For12
Against7
Progreso
3 pts0% wins
0W · 3D · 4L · 7 played
For2
Against9
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Boston River offensive edge
Boston River's attack (85%) vs Progreso's defense (42%).
+43 - Progreso offensive edge
Progreso runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-43
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Boston Riverhot form
Progresolow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Boston River50%
1Draws
1Progreso25%