Goal expectancy
1.40Expected goals1.16
From 3 and 3 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Boston River 1-2 Progreso Prediction
Balanced — model leans Boston River
Estimated win chances: Boston River 42.4%, draw 26.4%, Progreso 31.2%. From 3 and 3 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
100Hot streakBoston River
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
100Hot streakProgreso
Boston River · hot formProgreso · compact defense · hot form
Boston River
3W · 0D · 0LRecent →WWW
Momentum index
Progreso
3W · 0D · 0LRecent →WWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLevel on points
Boston River
9 pts100% wins
3W · 0D · 0L · 3 played
For6
Against3
Progreso
9 pts100% wins
3W · 0D · 0L · 3 played
For4
Against1
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Boston River offensive edge
Boston River faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-15 - Progreso offensive edge
Progreso's attack (40%) vs Boston River's defense (25%).
+15
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Boston Riverhot form
Progresocompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 8 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
5Boston River63%
2Draws
1Progreso13%