Goal expectancy
1.20Expected goals1.19
From 30 and 30 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Botafogo SP 0-1 Vila Nova Prediction
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Botafogo Sp 36.4%, draw 27.7%, Vila Nova 35.9%. From 30 and 30 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
38Cold spellBotafogo Sp
Weighted momentum
Vila Nova arrives with stronger form weighting (+23 momentum).
61BuildingVila Nova
Botafogo Sp · cold form
Botafogo Sp
9W · 8D · 13LRecent →WDLLLLLDWWLWDDWLWWLDLLLDDDLLWW
Momentum index
Vila Nova
16W · 6D · 8LRecent →WWDWLWDWWLLWLLWLWLWWWWLDDWWWDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapVila Nova +19
Botafogo Sp
35 pts30% wins
9W · 8D · 13L · 30 played
For34
Against36
Vila Nova
54 pts53% wins
16W · 6D · 8L · 30 played
For43
Against31
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Botafogo Sp offensive edge
Botafogo Sp faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-12 - Vila Nova offensive edge
Vila Nova's attack (55%) vs Botafogo Sp's defense (43%).
+12
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Botafogo Spcold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 9 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
5Botafogo Sp56%
1Draws
3Vila Nova33%