Goal expectancy
1.60Expected goals1.06
From 13 and 13 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Box Hill 2-1 Springvale Prediction
Balanced — model leans Box Hill
Estimated win chances: Box Hill 49.9%, draw 24.9%, Springvale 25.2%. From 13 and 13 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
48MixedBox Hill
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
53BuildingSpringvale
Box Hill
5W · 5D · 3LRecent →LLWDDWWDWDDLW
Momentum index
Springvale
5W · 3D · 5LRecent →WWLWLDDLWWLDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapBox Hill +2
Box Hill
20 pts38% wins
5W · 5D · 3L · 13 played
For19
Against13
Springvale
18 pts38% wins
5W · 3D · 5L · 13 played
For16
Against19
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Box Hill offensive edge
Box Hill faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
0 - Springvale offensive edge
Springvale runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
0
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
0Box Hill0%
0Draws
1Springvale100%