Goal expectancy
2.09Expected goals0.69
From 28 and 28 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Bra
Estimated win chances: Bra 70%, draw 18.9%, Chieri 11.1%. From 28 and 28 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
80Hot streakBra
Weighted momentum
Bra carries the sharper recent run (+59 momentum).
21Cold spellChieri
Bra · compact defense · hot formChieri · High-risk / fragile
Bra
21W · 4D · 3LRecent →WLWWDWWWWWWDWWWLDWWWWLWWWWWD
Momentum index
Chieri
4W · 5D · 19LRecent →LLWLLLDWLLDDLLWLDLLLLLLLLDLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapBra +50
Bra
67 pts75% wins
21W · 4D · 3L · 28 played
For60
Against14
Chieri
17 pts14% wins
4W · 5D · 19L · 28 played
For22
Against53
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Bra offensive edge
Bra's attack (73%) vs Chieri's defense (26%).
+47 - Chieri offensive edge
Chieri runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-47
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Bracompact defense · hot form
ChieriHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 8 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Bra13%
3Draws
4Chieri50%