Goal expectancy
1.77Expected goals0.72
From 31 and 31 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Bra
Estimated win chances: Bra 62.5%, draw 22.7%, Vogherese 14.7%. From 31 and 31 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
75Hot streakBra
Weighted momentum
Bra carries the sharper recent run (+41 momentum).
34Cold spellVogherese
Bra · compact defense · hot formVogherese · low scoring · cold form
Bra
22W · 6D · 3LRecent →DWDWLWWDWWWWWWDWWWLDWWWWLWWWWWD
Momentum index
Vogherese
7W · 11D · 13LRecent →DDDDWLDLDLDLDLWLWLWDLLDWWWLLLLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapBra +40
Bra
72 pts71% wins
22W · 6D · 3L · 31 played
For64
Against17
Vogherese
32 pts23% wins
7W · 11D · 13L · 31 played
For29
Against38
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Bra offensive edge
Bra faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-5 - Vogherese offensive edge
Vogherese's attack (30%) vs Bra's defense (25%).
+5
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Bracompact defense · hot form
Voghereselow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Bra33%
2Draws
0Vogherese0%