Goal expectancy
1.80Expected goals1.49
From 13 and 13 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Bravo
Estimated win chances: Bravo 45.1%, draw 22.8%, Maribor 32.1%. From 13 and 13 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
68Hot streakBravo
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
61BuildingMaribor
Bravo · hot form
Bravo
7W · 3D · 3LRecent →WWDWWDWLDLWWL
Momentum index
Maribor
7W · 2D · 4LRecent →WLWLWWLWDWDWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapBravo +1
Bravo
24 pts54% wins
7W · 3D · 3L · 13 played
For30
Against19
Maribor
23 pts54% wins
7W · 2D · 4L · 13 played
For26
Against16
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Bravo offensive edge
Bravo's attack (57%) vs Maribor's defense (45%).
+12 - Maribor offensive edge
Maribor runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-12
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Bravohot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 7 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Bravo14%
4Draws
2Maribor29%