Brighton 0-1 Middlesbrough Prediction

BrightonBrighton
0 — 1FT
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

BrightonBrightonvsMiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Brighton

Estimated win chances: Brighton 51.2%, draw 24.3%, Middlesbrough 24.6%. From 10 and 10 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.67Expected goals1.08

From 10 and 10 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–111.9%
  • 1–011%
  • 2–110%
  • 2–09.2%
  • 0–17.1%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

59BuildingBrighton
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

54BuildingMiddlesbrough
Brighton · compact defenseMiddlesbrough · leaky defense

Brighton

5W · 3D · 2L
Recent →DDLWWWWWDL
Momentum index

Middlesbrough

5W · 1D · 4L
Recent →WDLWLWLWWL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapBrighton +2

Brighton

18 pts
50% wins

5W · 3D · 2L · 10 played

For
15
Against
6
Goal diff +9

Middlesbrough

16 pts
50% wins

5W · 1D · 4L · 10 played

For
16
Against
17
Goal diff -1

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Brighton offensive edge

    Brighton's attack (33%) vs Middlesbrough's defense (23%).

    +10
  • Middlesbrough offensive edge

    Middlesbrough runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -10

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Brighton33
Middlesbrough67

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Brighton77
Middlesbrough23

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Brighton59
Middlesbrough54

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Brighton70
Middlesbrough30

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Brighton30
Middlesbrough34

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Brighton53
Middlesbrough47

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Brighton20
Middlesbrough80
Brightoncompact defense
Middlesbroughleaky defense