Brighton 1-0 Nottingham Forest
Key events
View all
Nottingham Forest- A. Omobamidele
BrightonFT 1–0
Predictions & odds
View allModel outlook versus market-implied chances (overround removed from decimal odds). For entertainment and analysis only — not betting advice.
Estimated outcome
Estimated outcome mix from Sportra's pre-match model
- Brighton51.5%
- Draw22.4%
- Nottingham Forest26.2%
Venue
The American Express Community Stadium
Falmer, East Sussex · England
- Address
- Village Way
- Surface
- grass
- Capacity
- 30750
Match
M. Salisbury
Round 28
- Referee
- M. Salisbury
- Round
- 28
- Date
Competition
League · England
- Country
- England (GB-ENG)
- Season
- 2023
- Dates
- 2023-08-11 → 2024-05-19
Match statistics
View allKey metrics
Visual snapshot of possession, chance quality, and shooting.
Possession
64%64%36%36%
Expected goals (xG)
0.4338%0.7062%
Total shots
1053%947%
Shots on target
343%457%
Team form & competition
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- #11 Position
- 48 Points
- 12-12-14 W-D-L
- 55/62 Goals F/A
- Best wins
- 4-1 / 0-5
- Worst defeats
- 0-4 / 6-1
- #17 Position
- 32 Points
- 9-9-20 W-D-L
- 49/67 Goals F/A
- Best wins
- 3-1 / 1-3
- Worst defeats
- 0-2 / 5-0
Head to head
View all4Brightonwins
2Drawsmatches
3Nottingham Forestwins
Recorded meetings: 9 (available previous meetings, not necessarily all-time).
- Highest scoring
- Nottingham Forest 2–3 Brighton
- Brighton most goals
- Nottingham Forest 2–3 Brighton
- Nottingham Forest most goals
- Nottingham Forest 3–1 Brighton
Match headlines
Headlines link to a short summary; the full story is on the original publisher’s site.
Nottingham Forest created the clearer chances on xG (0.43 vs 0.70, Δ 0.27). Brighton fired more attempts (10 vs 9 shots). Nottingham Forest was more accurate in front of goal (44% on target vs 30%). Brighton held more of the ball (64% possession).
Brighton outperformed their xG by 0.6 goals (1 scored vs 0.43 xG). Nottingham Forest underperformed their xG by 0.7 goals (0 scored vs 0.70 xG).