Premier LeagueModel outlook versus market-implied chances (overround removed from decimal odds). For entertainment and analysis only — not betting advice.
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Chelsea are now part of a congested mid-table group that includes Bournemouth, Brentford, Brighton, Fulham, Everton and Sunderland, all competing for Europa League or Conference League qualification. Ultimately, Chelsea do not deserve to be in the Champions League on the basis of their recent performances. It is therefore understandable that Chelsea's home supporters - witnessing a fourth successive home league defeat for only the second time - booed their side at full-time and chanted against the ownership.
Handballs, offsides and the impact of video assistant referees (VAR) have been huge points of contention in recent years, but is it now time to add hair pulling to the list? Sunderland defender Dan Ballard became the third player this season to be sent off for pulling an opponent's hair in Saturday's 1-1 draw at relegated Wolves. Referee Paul Tierney initially took no action, but showed a red card to the centre-back after VAR advised him to check the incident on the pitchside monitor.
Wolves boss Rob Edwards has defended his decision to not acknowledge the home fans after their draw with Sunderland. The team were booed off after their 1-1 draw against the Black Cats, who played with 10 men for over an hour following Dan Ballard's red card. Santi Bueno cancelled out Noni Mukiele's opener, scoring Wolves' first goal in 47 days, but it did not spare the head coach from fan frustration after the final whistle.
If Leeds are able to retain their top-flight status, the majority of supporters are likely to point to wins against relegation rivals Wolves, Burnley and West Ham as the defining moments of the season. The 49-year-old is more likely to point to a 3-2 defeat by Manchester City in late November as the moment his side's fortunes changed - and the numbers back it up. After goals from Phil Foden and Josko Gvardiol put City 2-0 up inside 25 minutes, Leeds were left fearing the worst.
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