Goal expectancy
1.84Expected goals1.33
From 19 and 21 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Brooklyn 4-1 Sporting JAX Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Brooklyn
Estimated win chances: Brooklyn 49.5%, draw 22.8%, Sporting Jax 27.8%. From 19 and 21 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
20Cold spellBrooklyn
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
23Cold spellSporting Jax
Brooklyn · High-risk / fragileSporting Jax · High-risk / fragile
Brooklyn
3W · 4D · 12LRecent →LLLLDWLDDLLLDWLLLLW
Momentum index
Sporting Jax
2W · 5D · 14LRecent →WLLLDWDLLLDDLLLLLLLDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Brooklyn
13 pts16% wins
3W · 4D · 12L · 19 played
For18
Against35
Sporting Jax
11 pts10% wins
2W · 5D · 14L · 21 played
For26
Against54
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Brooklyn offensive edge
Brooklyn faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-10 - Sporting Jax offensive edge
Sporting Jax's attack (63%) vs Brooklyn's defense (52%).
+11
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
BrooklynHigh-risk / fragile
Sporting JaxHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
0Brooklyn0%
2Draws
0Sporting Jax0%