Goal expectancy
1.44Expected goals0.87
From 36 and 36 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Brusaporto 3-2 Chions Prediction
Balanced — model leans Brusaporto
Estimated win chances: Brusaporto 50.4%, draw 26.8%, Chions 22.7%. From 36 and 36 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
48MixedBrusaporto
Weighted momentum
Brusaporto carries the sharper recent run (+22 momentum).
26Cold spellChions
Brusaporto · compact defenseChions · low scoring · cold form
Brusaporto
14W · 12D · 10LRecent →DDLLWWDLWDDLDWWLDWDWWDLLWWDWWWLDWDLL
Momentum index
Chions
5W · 12D · 19LRecent →LLDWLDWDDLLDDLLDLLDLLLWDLLWDLWLLLDDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapBrusaporto +27
Brusaporto
54 pts39% wins
14W · 12D · 10L · 36 played
For40
Against34
Chions
27 pts14% wins
5W · 12D · 19L · 36 played
For31
Against55
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Brusaporto offensive edge
Brusaporto's attack (29%) vs Chions's defense (27%).
+2 - Chions offensive edge
Chions runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-2
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Brusaportocompact defense
Chionslow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
0Brusaporto0%
1Draws
0Chions0%