Goal expectancy
1.88Expected goals1.40
From 6 and 6 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Bubendorf
Estimated win chances: Bubendorf 48.8%, draw 22.4%, Liestal 28.7%. From 6 and 6 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
13Cold spellBubendorf
Weighted momentum
Liestal arrives with stronger form weighting (+14 momentum).
27Cold spellLiestal
Bubendorf · High-risk / fragileLiestal · High-risk / fragile
Bubendorf
0W · 3D · 3LRecent →LLDLDD
Momentum index
Liestal
2W · 0D · 4LRecent →LLWLLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLiestal +3
Bubendorf
3 pts0% wins
0W · 3D · 3L · 6 played
For10
Against16
Liestal
6 pts33% wins
2W · 0D · 4L · 6 played
For4
Against14
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Bubendorf offensive edge
Bubendorf's attack (75%) vs Liestal's defense (52%).
+23 - Liestal offensive edge
Liestal runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-23
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
BubendorfHigh-risk / fragile
LiestalHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Bubendorf60%
1Draws
1Liestal20%