Goal expectancy
1.31Expected goals0.76
From 18 and 18 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — model leans Buffles
Estimated win chances: Buffles 49.7%, draw 28.7%, Soleil 21.7%. From 18 and 18 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
54BuildingBuffles
Weighted momentum
Buffles carries the sharper recent run (+24 momentum).
30Cold spellSoleil
Buffles · Structured / conservativeSoleil · low scoring · cold form
Buffles
7W · 7D · 4LRecent →WWDDWWLLDLDDDWWDLW
Momentum index
Soleil
3W · 6D · 9LRecent →DLLWLDLDDWWLLLDLDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapBuffles +13
Buffles
28 pts39% wins
7W · 7D · 4L · 18 played
For16
Against10
Soleil
15 pts17% wins
3W · 6D · 9L · 18 played
For15
Against25
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Buffles offensive edge
Buffles's attack (50%) vs Soleil's defense (18%).
+32 - Soleil offensive edge
Soleil runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-32
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
BufflesStructured / conservative
Soleillow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Buffles100%
0Draws
0Soleil0%