Goal expectancy
1.43Expected goals1.13
From 6 and 6 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Bul
Estimated win chances: Bul 43.9%, draw 26.3%, Nec 29.8%. From 6 and 6 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
86Hot streakBul
Weighted momentum
Bul carries the sharper recent run (+10 momentum).
76Hot streakNec
Bul · compact defense · hot formNec · compact defense · hot form
Bul
5W · 1D · 0LRecent →WDWWWW
Momentum index
Nec
4W · 2D · 0LRecent →WDWDWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapBul +2
Bul
16 pts83% wins
5W · 1D · 0L · 6 played
For13
Against3
Nec
14 pts67% wins
4W · 2D · 0L · 6 played
For11
Against2
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Bul offensive edge
Bul faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-3 - Nec offensive edge
Nec's attack (43%) vs Bul's defense (40%).
+3
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Bulcompact defense · hot form
Neccompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 6 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Bul17%
4Draws
1Nec17%