Goal expectancy
1.30Expected goals1.04
From 11 and 11 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Bunyodkor
Estimated win chances: Bunyodkor 42.5%, draw 27.8%, Nasaf 29.8%. From 11 and 11 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
54BuildingBunyodkor
Weighted momentum
Bunyodkor carries the sharper recent run (+20 momentum).
34Cold spellNasaf
Nasaf · cold form
Bunyodkor
6W · 1D · 4LRecent →LWLWLWWWDLW
Momentum index
Nasaf
3W · 5D · 3LRecent →DDLLDDWLDWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapBunyodkor +5
Bunyodkor
19 pts55% wins
6W · 1D · 4L · 11 played
For13
Against11
Nasaf
14 pts27% wins
3W · 5D · 3L · 11 played
For12
Against11
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Bunyodkor offensive edge
Bunyodkor faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
0 - Nasaf offensive edge
Nasaf runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
0
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Nasafcold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Bunyodkor20%
6Draws
2Nasaf20%