Goal expectancy
1.57Expected goals1.25
From 5 and 5 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Búzios
Estimated win chances: Búzios 44.8%, draw 24.8%, Paraty 30.4%. From 5 and 5 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
0Cold spellBúzios
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
0Cold spellParaty
Búzios · High-risk / fragileParaty · High-risk / fragile
Búzios
0W · 0D · 5LRecent →LLLLL
Momentum index
Paraty
0W · 0D · 5LRecent →LLLLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLevel on points
Búzios
0 pts0% wins
0W · 0D · 5L · 5 played
For1
Against12
Paraty
0 pts0% wins
0W · 0D · 5L · 5 played
For2
Against14
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Búzios offensive edge
Búzios faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-13 - Paraty offensive edge
Paraty's attack (67%) vs Búzios's defense (54%).
+13
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
BúziosHigh-risk / fragile
ParatyHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
1Búzios100%
0Draws
0Paraty0%