Goal expectancy
1.68Expected goals1.35
From 4 and 4 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Ca Batna
Estimated win chances: Ca Batna 45.3%, draw 23.8%, Usm Alger 30.9%. From 4 and 4 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
100Hot streakCa Batna
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
100Hot streakUsm Alger
Ca Batna · hot formUsm Alger · compact defense · hot form
Ca Batna
4W · 0D · 0LRecent →WWWW
Momentum index
Usm Alger
4W · 0D · 0LRecent →WWWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLevel on points
Ca Batna
12 pts100% wins
4W · 0D · 0L · 4 played
For12
Against5
Usm Alger
12 pts100% wins
4W · 0D · 0L · 4 played
For8
Against2
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Ca Batna offensive edge
Ca Batna faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-11 - Usm Alger offensive edge
Usm Alger's attack (40%) vs Ca Batna's defense (29%).
+11
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Ca Batnahot form
Usm Algercompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 7 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
5Ca Batna71%
0Draws
2Usm Alger29%