Goal expectancy
1.76Expected goals1.43
From 6 and 6 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
CA La Paz 2-1 Cimarrones Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Ca La Paz
Estimated win chances: Ca La Paz 45.5%, draw 23.1%, Cimarrones 31.4%. From 6 and 6 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
69Hot streakCa La Paz
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
70Hot streakCimarrones
Ca La Paz · Open but unstableCimarrones · hot form
Ca La Paz
4W · 1D · 1LRecent →WLWDWW
Momentum index
Cimarrones
3W · 2D · 1LRecent →WWDWLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapCa La Paz +2
Ca La Paz
13 pts67% wins
4W · 1D · 1L · 6 played
For14
Against10
Cimarrones
11 pts50% wins
3W · 2D · 1L · 6 played
For11
Against8
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Ca La Paz offensive edge
Ca La Paz faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-1 - Cimarrones offensive edge
Cimarrones's attack (45%) vs Ca La Paz's defense (44%).
+1
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Ca La PazOpen but unstable
Cimarroneshot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Ca La Paz50%
0Draws
1Cimarrones50%