Goal expectancy
1.52Expected goals1.45
From 8 and 8 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
CA River Plate 2-2 Progreso Prediction
Open / transitional — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Ca River Plate 39.3%, draw 24.4%, Progreso 36.2%. From 8 and 8 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
44MixedCa River Plate
Weighted momentum
Progreso arrives with stronger form weighting (+37 momentum).
81Hot streakProgreso
Progreso · hot form
Ca River Plate
3W · 2D · 3LRecent →LWDDLWWL
Momentum index
Progreso
6W · 2D · 0LRecent →WDWWDWWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapProgreso +9
Ca River Plate
11 pts38% wins
3W · 2D · 3L · 8 played
For11
Against9
Progreso
20 pts75% wins
6W · 2D · 0L · 8 played
For19
Against11
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Ca River Plate offensive edge
Ca River Plate faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-20 - Progreso offensive edge
Progreso's attack (60%) vs Ca River Plate's defense (40%).
+20
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Progresohot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Ca River Plate60%
0Draws
2Progreso40%