Caen 2-0 Arles Prediction

CaenCaen
2 — 0FT
ArlesArles
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

CaenCaenvsArlesArles

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Caen

Estimated win chances: Caen 54%, draw 24.3%, Arles 21.6%. From 27 and 27 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.67Expected goals0.96

From 27 and 27 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–012.4%
  • 1–111.9%
  • 2–010.4%
  • 2–110%
  • 0–07.4%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

40MixedCaen
Weighted momentum

Caen carries the sharper recent run (+23 momentum).

17Cold spellArles
Arles · High-risk / fragile

Caen

8W · 8D · 11L
Recent →LWDDWLWLWWDLLLLLLDDLDWDLDWW
Momentum index

Arles

1W · 9D · 17L
Recent →DLDDDLLLDLLDLLDWLDDLLLLLLLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapCaen +20

Caen

32 pts
30% wins

8W · 8D · 11L · 27 played

For
29
Against
38
Goal diff -9

Arles

12 pts
4% wins

1W · 9D · 17L · 27 played

For
16
Against
53
Goal diff -37

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Caen offensive edge

    Caen's attack (58%) vs Arles's defense (41%).

    +17
  • Arles offensive edge

    Arles runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -17

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Caen58
Arles42

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Caen59
Arles41

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Caen40
Arles17

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Caen84
Arles16

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Caen30
Arles41

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Caen67
Arles33

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Caen0
Arles100
ArlesHigh-risk / fragile

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

1Caen100%
0Draws
0Arles0%

Recent meetings

Arles
3 – 2FT
Caen

Ligue 1Round 12