Caen 2-0 Auxerre Prediction

CaenCaen
2 — 0FT
AuxerreAuxerre
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

CaenCaenvsAuxerreAuxerre

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — too close to call

Estimated win chances: Caen 36.6%, draw 26.9%, Auxerre 36.6%. From 20 and 20 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.26Expected goals1.26

From 20 and 20 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113%
  • 0–110.3%
  • 1–010.3%
  • 1–28.2%
  • 2–18.2%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

31Cold spellCaen
Weighted momentum

Auxerre arrives with stronger form weighting (+10 momentum).

41MixedAuxerre
Caen · low scoring · cold form

Caen

5W · 6D · 9L
Recent →LWWDLLLLLLDDLDWDLDWW
Momentum index

Auxerre

4W · 12D · 4L
Recent →DDDDDLDWDWWLWDLDLDDD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapAuxerre +3

Caen

21 pts
25% wins

5W · 6D · 9L · 20 played

For
20
Against
29
Goal diff -9

Auxerre

24 pts
20% wins

4W · 12D · 4L · 20 played

For
26
Against
23
Goal diff +3

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Caen offensive edge

    Caen faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    0
  • Auxerre offensive edge

    Auxerre runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    0

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Caen44
Auxerre56

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Caen56
Auxerre44

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Caen31
Auxerre41

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Caen50
Auxerre50

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Caen30
Auxerre30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Caen58
Auxerre42

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Caen50
Auxerre50
Caenlow scoring · cold form