Caen 1-0 Fleury 91 Prediction

CaenCaen
1 — 0FT
Fleury 91Fleury 91
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

CaenCaenvsFleury 91Fleury 91

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Defensive grind — too close to call

Estimated win chances: Caen 36.2%, draw 30.2%, Fleury 91 33.6%. From 18 and 17 competition matches.

Low tempo / cagey
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.06Expected goals1.01

From 18 and 17 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113.6%
  • 1–013.5%
  • 0–112.9%
  • 0–012.7%
  • 2–17.2%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

37Cold spellCaen
Weighted momentum

Fleury 91 arrives with stronger form weighting (+20 momentum).

57BuildingFleury 91
Caen · compact defense · cold formFleury 91 · compact defense

Caen

4W · 10D · 4L
Recent →LDDDWDDDLWLDDDWLDW
Momentum index

Fleury 91

7W · 6D · 4L
Recent →WWLDWDWDDDLWWLLWD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Caen

22 pts
22% wins

4W · 10D · 4L · 18 played

For
19
Against
17
Goal diff +2

Fleury 91

27 pts
41% wins

7W · 6D · 4L · 17 played

For
20
Against
11
Goal diff +9

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Caen offensive edge

    Caen faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -29
  • Fleury 91 offensive edge

    Fleury 91's attack (54%) vs Caen's defense (25%).

    +29

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Caen46
Fleury 9154

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Caen25
Fleury 9175

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Caen37
Fleury 9157

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Caen-8
Fleury 91108

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Caen30
Fleury 9130

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Caen38
Fleury 9163

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Caen100
Fleury 910
Caencompact defense · cold form
Fleury 91compact defense

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

0Caen0%
0Draws
1Fleury 91100%

Recent meetings

Fleury 91
1 – 2FT
Caen

National 1Round 4