Caen 1-2 Guingamp Prediction

CaenCaen
1 — 2FT
GuingampGuingamp
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

CaenCaenvsGuingampGuingamp

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Caen

Estimated win chances: Caen 50.4%, draw 24.3%, Guingamp 25.3%. From 10 and 10 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.67Expected goals1.11

From 10 and 10 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–111.9%
  • 1–010.7%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 2–08.9%
  • 0–17.1%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

57BuildingCaen
Weighted momentum

Caen carries the sharper recent run (+12 momentum).

45MixedGuingamp
Caen · compact defense

Caen

5W · 2D · 3L
Recent →WLWLDWWLWD
Momentum index

Guingamp

3W · 4D · 3L
Recent →DLWDWDLWDL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapCaen +4

Caen

17 pts
50% wins

5W · 2D · 3L · 10 played

For
17
Against
8
Goal diff +9

Guingamp

13 pts
30% wins

3W · 4D · 3L · 10 played

For
15
Against
15
Goal diff +0

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Caen offensive edge

    Caen's attack (47%) vs Guingamp's defense (43%).

    +4
  • Guingamp offensive edge

    Guingamp runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -4

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Caen47
Guingamp53

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Caen57
Guingamp43

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Caen57
Guingamp45

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Caen58
Guingamp42

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Caen30
Guingamp30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Caen47
Guingamp53

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Caen0
Guingamp0
Caencompact defense