Caen 2-1 Laval Prediction

CaenCaen
2 — 1FT
LavalLaval

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Caen

Estimated win chances: Caen 52.3%, draw 25.8%, Laval 21.9%. From 25 and 25 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.53Expected goals0.89

From 25 and 25 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–013.9%
  • 1–112.4%
  • 2–010.6%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 0–09.1%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

60BuildingCaen
Weighted momentum

Caen carries the sharper recent run (+26 momentum).

34Cold spellLaval
Caen · compact defenseLaval · cold form

Caen

13W · 5D · 7L
Recent →DWWDLWWLWLWDWWLWLWLDWWLWD
Momentum index

Laval

6W · 8D · 11L
Recent →WLLDDDLLLLWWWLDDDLWLLWLDD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapCaen +18

Caen

44 pts
52% wins

13W · 5D · 7L · 25 played

For
34
Against
16
Goal diff +18

Laval

26 pts
24% wins

6W · 8D · 11L · 25 played

For
30
Against
35
Goal diff -5

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Caen offensive edge

    Caen's attack (36%) vs Laval's defense (20%).

    +16
  • Laval offensive edge

    Laval runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -16

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Caen36
Laval64

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Caen80
Laval20

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Caen60
Laval34

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Caen82
Laval18

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Caen30
Laval30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Caen62
Laval38

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Caen100
Laval0
Caencompact defense
Lavalcold form