Goal expectancy
1.20Expected goals1.11
From 3 and 3 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Caen 38.1%, draw 28.3%, Quevilly 33.7%. From 3 and 3 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
42MixedCaen
Weighted momentum
Quevilly arrives with stronger form weighting (+19 momentum).
61BuildingQuevilly
Caen · leaky defenseQuevilly · Structured / conservative
Caen
1W · 0D · 2LRecent →WLL
Momentum index
Quevilly
1W · 2D · 0LRecent →WDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapQuevilly +2
Caen
3 pts33% wins
1W · 0D · 2L · 3 played
For4
Against5
Quevilly
5 pts33% wins
1W · 2D · 0L · 3 played
For1
Against0
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Caen offensive edge
Caen faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-20 - Quevilly offensive edge
Quevilly's attack (20%) vs Caen's defense (0%).
+20
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Caenleaky defense
QuevillyStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Caen67%
0Draws
1Quevilly33%