Goal expectancy
2.02Expected goals1.52
From 20 and 21 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Caersws 1-1 Gresford Athletic Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Caersws
Estimated win chances: Caersws 49.4%, draw 21.5%, Gresford Athletic 29.1%. From 20 and 21 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
32Cold spellCaersws
Weighted momentum
Gresford Athletic arrives with stronger form weighting (+8 momentum).
40MixedGresford Athletic
Caersws · High-risk / fragileGresford Athletic · leaky defense
Caersws
6W · 5D · 9LRecent →LLLLDWDWDLDWLLLWDWLW
Momentum index
Gresford Athletic
7W · 4D · 10LRecent →WLLWLLDWLLDLWWWWLDLDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Caersws
23 pts30% wins
6W · 5D · 9L · 20 played
For40
Against39
Gresford Athletic
25 pts33% wins
7W · 4D · 10L · 21 played
For32
Against40
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Caersws offensive edge
Caersws's attack (46%) vs Gresford Athletic's defense (44%).
+2 - Gresford Athletic offensive edge
Gresford Athletic runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-2
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
CaerswsHigh-risk / fragile
Gresford Athleticleaky defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
0Caersws0%
0Draws
1Gresford Athletic100%