Cagliari 1-2 Lecce Prediction

CagliariCagliari
1 — 2FT
LecceLecce
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

CagliariCagliarivsLecceLecce

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Cagliari

Estimated win chances: Cagliari 45.9%, draw 27.1%, Lecce 27.1%. From 24 and 24 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.39Expected goals1.00

From 24 and 24 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–013%
  • 1–113%
  • 0–09.3%
  • 0–19.3%
  • 2–09%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

42MixedCagliari
Weighted momentum

Cagliari carries the sharper recent run (+8 momentum).

34Cold spellLecce
Cagliari · low scoringLecce · cold form

Cagliari

7W · 10D · 7L
Recent →DWDWLDDWLLDWDLLLDDDWDLWW
Momentum index

Lecce

5W · 6D · 13L
Recent →WDDLWDWLLDLLLLWDLLDLLLWL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapCagliari +10

Cagliari

31 pts
29% wins

7W · 10D · 7L · 24 played

For
22
Against
24
Goal diff -2

Lecce

21 pts
21% wins

5W · 6D · 13L · 24 played

For
26
Against
39
Goal diff -13

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Cagliari offensive edge

    Cagliari faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -17
  • Lecce offensive edge

    Lecce's attack (50%) vs Cagliari's defense (33%).

    +17

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Cagliari50
Lecce50

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Cagliari33
Lecce67

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Cagliari42
Lecce34

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Cagliari16
Lecce84

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Cagliari30
Lecce32

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Cagliari50
Lecce50

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Cagliari88
Lecce13
Cagliarilow scoring
Leccecold form

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

0Cagliari0%
0Draws
1Lecce100%

Recent meetings

Lecce
0 – 2FT
Cagliari

Serie ARound 6