Caldense 1-1 Mamoré Prediction

CaldenseCaldense
1 — 1FT
MamoréMamoré

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Defensive grind — too close to call

Estimated win chances: Caldense 36.8%, draw 33%, Mamoré 30.2%. From 6 and 6 competition matches.

Low tempo / cagey
TempoLow
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

0.95Expected goals0.83

From 6 and 6 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 0–016.9%
  • 1–016.1%
  • 0–114.1%
  • 1–113.4%
  • 2–07.6%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

41MixedCaldense
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

48MixedMamoré
Caldense · Structured / conservativeMamoré · Structured / conservative

Caldense

1W · 3D · 2L
Recent →DWDDLL
Momentum index

Mamoré

3W · 1D · 2L
Recent →LWDLWW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapMamoré +4

Caldense

6 pts
17% wins

1W · 3D · 2L · 6 played

For
1
Against
2
Goal diff -1

Mamoré

10 pts
50% wins

3W · 1D · 2L · 6 played

For
5
Against
4
Goal diff +1

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Caldense offensive edge

    Caldense faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    0
  • Mamoré offensive edge

    Mamoré runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    0

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Caldense20
Mamoré80

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Caldense80
Mamoré20

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Caldense41
Mamoré48

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Caldense50
Mamoré50

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Caldense30
Mamoré30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Caldense46
Mamoré54

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Caldense50
Mamoré50
CaldenseStructured / conservative
MamoréStructured / conservative

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

0Caldense0%
1Draws
0Mamoré0%

Recent meetings