Goal expectancy
1.26Expected goals1.08
From 25 and 25 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Estimated win chances: Camacha 40.4%, draw 27.9%, Celoricense 31.6%. From 25 and 25 competition matches.
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
1.26Expected goals1.08
From 25 and 25 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
9W · 9D · 7L · 25 played
10W · 9D · 6L · 25 played
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
Camacha's attack (92%) vs Celoricense's defense (73%).
+19Celoricense runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-19Comparison indices from the match data partner.
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.