Goal expectancy
1.25Expected goals1.08
From 5 and 4 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Campinense 0-1 CSP Prediction
Balanced — model leans Campinense
Estimated win chances: Campinense 40.2%, draw 28%, Csp 31.8%. From 5 and 4 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
31Cold spellCampinense
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
33Cold spellCsp
Campinense · low scoring · cold formCsp · low scoring · cold form
Campinense
1W · 2D · 2LRecent →LDDWL
Momentum index
Csp
1W · 1D · 2LRecent →LWLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Campinense
5 pts20% wins
1W · 2D · 2L · 5 played
For4
Against6
Csp
4 pts25% wins
1W · 1D · 2L · 4 played
For3
Against4
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Campinense offensive edge
Campinense faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-3 - Csp offensive edge
Csp's attack (43%) vs Campinense's defense (40%).
+3
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Campinenselow scoring · cold form
Csplow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Campinense33%
1Draws
1Csp33%