Goal expectancy
1.05Expected goals1.51
From 18 and 18 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Poblense
Estimated win chances: Campos 26.4%, draw 25.8%, Poblense 47.9%. From 18 and 18 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
20Cold spellCampos
Weighted momentum
Poblense arrives with stronger form weighting (+36 momentum).
56BuildingPoblense
Campos · High-risk / fragilePoblense · compact defense
Campos
3W · 4D · 11LRecent →LLLWLDLDDLLLDLLWLW
Momentum index
Poblense
9W · 5D · 4LRecent →WWWLDLDDLLWWWWDDWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapPoblense +19
Campos
13 pts17% wins
3W · 4D · 11L · 18 played
For18
Against39
Poblense
32 pts50% wins
9W · 5D · 4L · 18 played
For24
Against13
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Campos offensive edge
Campos faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-25 - Poblense offensive edge
Poblense's attack (50%) vs Campos's defense (25%).
+25
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
CamposHigh-risk / fragile
Poblensecompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Campos67%
0Draws
1Poblense33%