Cannes 2-2 Marignane Prediction

CannesCannes
2 — 2FT
MarignaneMarignane
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

CannesCannesvsMarignaneMarignane

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Cannes

Estimated win chances: Cannes 54.3%, draw 24%, Marignane 21.7%. From 18 and 18 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.70Expected goals0.98

From 18 and 18 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–012.1%
  • 1–111.8%
  • 2–010.2%
  • 2–110%
  • 0–07.1%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

68Hot streakCannes
Weighted momentum

Cannes carries the sharper recent run (+30 momentum).

38Cold spellMarignane
Cannes · hot formMarignane · low scoring · cold form

Cannes

8W · 7D · 3L
Recent →WWWDWWWWDDLLLWDDDD
Momentum index

Marignane

6W · 4D · 8L
Recent →LDLWWDLLWDLWLLDWLW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapCannes +9

Cannes

31 pts
44% wins

8W · 7D · 3L · 18 played

For
31
Against
20
Goal diff +11

Marignane

22 pts
33% wins

6W · 4D · 8L · 18 played

For
17
Against
27
Goal diff -10

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Cannes offensive edge

    Cannes's attack (73%) vs Marignane's defense (38%).

    +35
  • Marignane offensive edge

    Marignane runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -35

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Cannes73
Marignane27

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Cannes62
Marignane38

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Cannes68
Marignane38

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Cannes120
Marignane-20

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Cannes30
Marignane30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Cannes65
Marignane35

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Cannes100
Marignane0
Canneshot form
Marignanelow scoring · cold form

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

0Cannes0%
0Draws
1Marignane100%

Recent meetings

Marignane
0 – 1FT
Cannes

National 2 - Group AGroup A, matchday 5